경제들(Economies)/뉴스들(News)

🇰🇷 June 13, 2025 (Thu) – Korean Market Pauses “Honeymoon Rally” Amid Middle East Tensions 🎯

월드경제재테크 2025. 6. 14. 11:07
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📊 Market Summary

  • KOSPI: 2,894.62 (–0.87%)
  • KOSDAQ: 768.86 (–2.61%)
  • KRW/USD: ₩1,363.50 (+6.40 KRW)

After eight straight days of gains, the KOSPI gave back some of its momentum, slipping on renewed geopolitical worries tied to the Middle East. The KOSDAQ showed an even sharper drop. Meanwhile, the Korean won weakened on global risk-off sentiment, though foreign investors rebounded into net buying at session close reuters.com+3koreajoongangdaily.joins.com+3reuters.com+3tradingview.com+1koreajoongangdaily.joins.com+1.


📰 Key News & Insights

1. 🌍 Surge in Middle East Geopolitical Risk

Israel carried out airstrikes in Iran, targeting nuclear and military facilities, and reportedly killed high-ranking Iranian commanders. That triggered sharp volatility: global markets, including South Korea, sold off, while oil prices spiked over 9%, and bonds and safe assets rallied reuters.com+1koreajoongangdaily.joins.com+1.

2. 📉 KOSPI & KOSDAQ Enter Correction Phase

The KOSPI slipped nearly 0.9%, testing support near 2,870, while the KOSDAQ tumbled 2.6%, reflecting sector-wide retrenchment .

3. 📌 Shift in Foreign & Institutional Flows

Although foreign investors led a late-session buying spree in the KOSPI, institutional investors sold aggressively. Conversely, both groups exited KOSDAQ positions koreajoongangdaily.joins.com.

4. 🚀 Defense, Oil & Nuclear Names Surge

Risk-off sentiment and geopolitical uncertainty fueled gains in defense and energy-related stocks. Poongsan soared ~19%, LIG Nex1 +8.7%, S-Oil +7%, and Hanwha Techwin also saw strong moves koreajoongangdaily.joins.com.

5. 🌐 U.S.–China Trade Talks Continue

Despite flareups abroad, the U.S.–China trade negotiation framework remains in focus. Any breakthrough could offer a silver lining—but short-term volatility is centering around geopolitics .


🔮 Outlook & Upcoming Events

DateEvent
Jun 17–18 U.S. FOMC meeting
Mid-June Bank of Korea rate decision
Ongoing Middle East tensions resolution
Elsewhere U.S.–China trade talks progress
 

With global tensions rising and key policy decisions near, markets may oscillate in the short term. However, core fundamentals still support the broader upside.


💡 Conclusion & Investment Strategy

Conclusion
Although the “honeymoon rally” temporarily paused, the underlying market strength—from foreign buying, policy momentum, and infrastructure—remains intact. Geopolitical flareups have shifted focus toward risk-off and defensive sectors.

Strategy

  1. Defensive Assets Focus: Continue playing defense and energy-heavy names like Poongsan, LIG Nex1, S-Oil, Hanwha Techwin.
  2. Watch for Buy-the-Dip Opportunities: Foreign investors stepping back in could help stabilize major caps.
  3. Maintain Diversified Core Picks: Semiconductors, autos, and large tech stocks remain long-term recovery plays.
  4. Hedge against Policy & FX Risk: Consider fixed income, energy, and forex hedges before BOK and FOMC decisions.
  5. Stay Agile Across Events: Be prepared to rotate between growth, income, and defensive assets based on headlines and developments.

📝 Closing Thoughts

Today’s sell-off reflects a market recalibration in face of Middle East tensions—but foreign buying returning into the session hints at resilience. Geopolitical headlines will remain the near-term driver. Focus on defense and energy for protection, but keep a balanced stance with long-duration and relative-value plays. As central bank guidance approaches, stay alert and flexible in positioning.

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